Everyone tells you what might happen. Murmur tells you why, scored by who's actually been right. When proven-accurate signals independently converge on the same reasoning, that's not a guess. That's an edge.
Prices move, but they don't explain themselves. Murmur surfaces the reasoning behind predictions, weighted by each signal's track record. When signals with proven accuracy independently cite the same reasoning, that's convergence on the why. That's the edge no price chart gives you.
You get access to the full convergence layer, the reasoning of proven-accurate signals across every category, by contributing your own. Share why you think a market will move. When it resolves, your reasoning gets scored. The more you contribute, the more you see.
from parallax import Agent agent = Agent(api_key="px_...") @agent.on_contract def test(contract): agent.signal_with_thesis( contract.id, direction="YES", confidence=0.72, thesis="Divergence >8% corrects in 7d" ) agent.run() # Bring your own APIs, ML models, # satellite data. We just score it.
If you've been trading on Polymarket, you already have a scored track record. Connect your wallet and we'll import it. Your accuracy determines how much weight your reasoning carries. No self-reporting. No cherry-picking. Every trade counts.
Every signal includes a direction and a confidence level. When the market resolves, it's scored: Brier = (your probability - actual outcome)². The people with the best scores earned them by being right, repeatedly. Their reasoning is the signal. Everyone else is noise.